Why Do The British Sound The Alarm?, Why Now? By Mohamed Farah
Why Do The British Sound The Alarm?, Why Now?
By Mohamed Farah
Their Has been a lot of chattering among Somali media and Somaliland
government lately about the British foreign office’s warring of the security
treat posed by Al-Shabaab to western citizens living in Somaliland.
Almost every body is reading this to his/her own reasoning with out
any empirical evidence or logical analysis.
Some suggest the latest American recognition of the Somali government
after 21 years is prelude to other western nations to follow suit and
start pushing for the union. others concluded that the British warning
is a political move to put pressure those in Somaliland who may not want
to attend the London conference in May or campaign against the process.
Western nations do not want to destabilize a relatively stable parts of the
horn of Africa especialy Somaliland.
All theses scenarios are mere speculations. Their is a difference between
politics and state policy. Politics is an art to make things possible or a way
to maneuver to achieve a goal, policy is an agenda or a road map set either
by the government of the day or the state regardless of the ruling party.
the British government and her people are among the most sophisticated
in the developed world, if you could remember during the gulf war , the
British troops were based in the southern part of Iraq , around the city of
Basra. Unlike the Americans who faced daily ambushes, constant attacks and
poplar uprising among the people , the Brits managed to stabilize their sector
without much blood shed. The British are masters when it comes to state craft
and diplomacy, yet they are serious on matters of national security and terrorism.
The intelligence community approached the Somali land government on issues of
regional security and terrorism since 2010, the result is so far a dismal. Last
summer when Al shabaab were routed from southern Somalia, it was a common
knowledge that the logical tactic of the movement was to relocate to either
Punt-land or Somaliland. To Shaw the world their commitment to fight terrorism
in the region , they paraded in the media few insignificant moves which later
back fired. Last year a local man in Borama offered the transfer of unexplored
ordinances from the 1991 war. The man claimed that he kept this ordinances in
a save place for almost 20 years without incident and he wanted some form of
compensation or the recognition of his heroics. Not so fast said the government.
The police chief of Somaliland held a news conference in Hargeisa to announce
the capture of weapons in the city. the city elders were not amused, also late
last year the arrested in Borama a Somali-American women who was visiting
relatives in the region and took her to Hargeisa. These are the achievements of
the Somaliland security in the most peaceful city in the Somali speaking world.
These mediocre officials think these lazy but irresponsible actions would fool the
international community, rather it make them uncomfortable to deal with the Siilaanyo
government. Now here are the most fundamental reasons the British released
their warning to the international media.
1- The increased number of former Al shabaab members who are openly relocating
to Hargeisa are making the foreign workers uncomfortable, even the interior minister
openly claimed in the media that the government is welcoming those who want to
exit the movement. It is all good and well to rehabilitate former Shabaabs members,
but, how can you integrate these people without even identifying them first.
2- Their are credible reports that wounded Al shabaab members are cared in Hargeisa
hospitals with knowledge of the intelligence officials.
3- When the President was told that the son of the finance minister participated in the
battle of Mogadhishu against the government troops , he seemed dump founded.
A visiting intelligence officer from Ethiopia demanded the dismissal of the minister.
The minister got mad and started his own campaign against the Ethiopian businesses
by imposing import taxes against the Small Bagaash traders. The Ethiopia government
not only refused to pay these new tariff but left the goods on the port for months, finally
a delegation from the government which does not include the finance minister resolved
the impasse. The president by now had enough of this and fired the minister.
4- The spiritual leader of the Al-shabaab hails from Ahmed Dhagax district in Hargeisa,
his friends and families are agitating now for anarchy and confrontation in Hargiesa,
almost every day in order to destabilize the government.
5- It is a well known among the Somali speaking world the hastiness of the Hargeisa
government to arrest or transfer to the neighboring countries any individual who
belong to the wrong tribe. Their were half a dozen suspects members of ONLF who
were arrested and transferred without due process. So far under this regime no one
who belongs to the Isaaq community was ever arrested or charged with terrorism,
in fact the Siilaanyo government released a large number of people who were charged
and convicted after carrying acts of terror.
6- The international community after a long process understood that this government is
very reluctant to move against these groups while their relatives are among the highest
officials of the government. They know window dressing and bogus statements do not
prevent or deter those who are bent on harming innocent people.
7- Finally people every were witnessed the death of a dozen people across the country
in the hand of the security while dispersing demonstrators. The backlash of the last
election is visible across the land with no conclusions, in fact in Zaylac the government
manufactured drama became the laughing stock of the system . You have government
ministers crossing the Djibouti border almost weekly to negotiate or find a way to alter
the official result of the election while increasing the tribal dram beet.
Considering all these options the British has no choice but to be save than sorry, that is
what responsible governments do, protect their people from real or imagined threat.
They expect the government to address the real issues of security.